Stock market today: Indexes close mixed as traders hold out hope for a Santa Claus rally

Stock market today: Indexes close mixed as traders hold out hope for a Santa Claus rally

Stock indexes closed mixed on Thursday in their first trading session after Christmas, disrupting a so-called Santa Claus rally.

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The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained around 29 points to close 0.1% higher, while the S&P 500 fell slightly to close nearly flat. The Nasdaq also fell slightly, down 0.1%.

The indexes’ mixed results come after two days of wins, the latter of which falls in the Santa Claus rally period.

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The period is historically marked by big gains in the last five trading days of the year into the first two of January, with the S&P 500 gaining an average of 1.3% over the rally.

This year’s Santa Claus rally saw a strong start on Christmas Eve, with a nearly 400-point gain for the Dow and a 1.1% gain for the S&P 500, marking the benchmark index’s best Christmas Eve performance since 1974.

Traders have hoped the rally will help the market close out this year’s strong performance on a high note, setting up for a third year of big gains.

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“When investors are on the ‘nice’ list, and Santa delivers a positive Santa Claus Rally return, the S&P 500 has generated an average January and forward annual return of 1.4% and 10.4%, respectively,” LPL Financial’s Adam Turnquist said in a Tuesday note.

Turnquist added that when stocks have traded lower during the period, both measures trend lower, with the S&P 500 typically trading near flat in January and seeing a forward annual return of 5%.

The latest jobs data, meanwhile, showed enduring unemployment is on the rise, with continuing claims surging to 1.91 million, marking their highest level in over three years.

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Initial jobless claims came in at 219,000 for last week, below consensus estimates of 225,000.

Here’s where US indexes stood at the 4:00 p.m. closing bell on Thursday:

  • S&P 500: 6,037.59, down 0.04%
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average: 43,325.80, up 0.07% (+28.77 points)
  • Nasdaq composite: 20,020.36, down 0.05%

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Here’s what else is happening:

  • Slower AI spending could ignite a ‘vicious’ downturn for chipmakers, Nvidia supplier says
  • 3 ways a trade war with China could hit US profits, according to Goldman Sachs
  • Toyota stock surges 9% after report says the carmaker aims to double profitability
  • ‘What a difference a year makes’: Healthcare stocks are set to surge in 2025 after a disappointing year, Citi says
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