By This was CNBC’s live blog tracking developments on the war in Ukraine on June 30. See the latest updates here.
Nearly a week after its failed insurrection against Moscow, some parts of Russian paramilitary group Wagner remain in Russian-occupied territories in Ukraine, the U.S. Pentagon says.
“On Wagner Group and its disposition, what I would tell you is, right now, we continue to see some elements of the Wagner Group in Russian-occupied territory in Ukraine,” Pentagon spokesperson Brigadier General Pat Ryder said Thursday.
Wagner leader Yevgeny Prigozhin is now in exile in Belarus, Minsk said earlier this week.
The short-lived Wagner rebellion deeply divided Moscow’s military echelons, with the EU now seeing cracks in Russian unity, Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallas told CNBC.
The international community has continued to rally around Ukraine, with the World Bank extending a new $1.5-billion loan to Kyiv, while EU leaders this week pledged unspecified future security commitments.
In a further show of solidarity, Spain is set to begin its six-month turn at the helm of the EU Council’s rotating presidency with a visit to Kyiv by Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez. Ukraine has been pushing for accession into the European coalition and the NATO military alliance.
The U.S. State Department approved a potential foreign military sale to Romania for the modernization of 32 F-16 fighter jets.
The sale, a third-party transfer from Norway, will cost an estimated $105 million, according to a State Department release.
Lockheed Martin is the principal contractor named in the deal and the defense titan’s facility in Fort Worth, Texas will coordinate the work.
“The proposed sale will improve Romania’s capability to meet current and future threats by bolstering its operational readiness while enhancing air and defense capabilities with a modernized fleet,” the State Department wrote in a statement announcing the sale.
“Romania has F-16s in its inventory and will have no difficulty absorbing these aircraft and equipment into its armed forces,” the release added.
— Amanda Macias
A new report from the Center for Strategic and International Studies, a Washington-based think tank, said that Moscow, despite multiple rounds of coordinated Western sanctions, will continue to find workarounds to produce missiles for its war in Ukraine.
“Russia will continue having the capacity to build missiles and drones and will continue to fire them at Ukraine. This reality will not change until the war ends,” wrote Ian Williams, a fellow in the International Security Program and deputy director of the Missile Defense Project at CSIS.
Into 2023, Russia has persisted in expending expensive, long-range missiles in regular attacks against a variety of civilian and military objects across Ukraine. The focus of these strikes regularly shifts and their intensity has ebbed and flowed, as has the quality of employed munitions.
However, Russia’s continued strike campaign in 2023 has made one thing quite clear: it is unrealistic to expect Russia to ever “run out” of missiles.
Despite sanctions and export controls, it appears likely that Russia will be able to produce or otherwise acquire the long-range strike capacity necessary to inflict significant damage upon Ukraine’s people, economy, and military.
Read the full report by Williams here.
— Amanda Macias
The Biden administration renewed calls for regular consular access for detained U.S. reporter Evan Gershkovich in Russia.
Gershkovich, a Moscow-based reporter for The Wall Street Journal, was arrested in March by Russian authorities on espionage charges.
“We are still working at their release every single day. That has not changed,” National Security Council spokesman John Kirby said on a call with reporters. “Obviously, we have not been successful to date but that doesn’t mean we aren’t going to keep trying.”
“We still want regular consular access to Evan, which we have not been able to get. And of course, we’re absolutely still working on Paul [Whelan]’s case as well. That has not changed and that will not change,” Kirby added referencing the detained former U.S. Marine.
Whelan was arrested by Russian authorities in 2018 on charges of acting as a spy for the United States. He was convicted in 2020 and sentenced to 16 years of hard labor in a Russian camp in the remote province of Mordovia.
— Amanda Macias
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy thanked the Prime Minister of Denmark for its latest security package.
“Grateful to the Government of Denmark led by Mette Frederiksen for a new defense aid package of around $190 million,” Zelenskyy wrote on Twitter.
“Additional air defense missiles, ammunition, artillery rounds and demining equipment are critical needs on the battlefield. Thank you for your timely support & important contribution to our joint victory,” he added.
— Amanda Macias
Two ships carrying agricultural exports left Ukraine’s port of Chornomorsk under the Black Sea Grain Initiative, according to the U.N.-backed organization responsible for tracking vessel movements under the deal.
Both ships are destined for China and are carrying 63,405 metric tons of corn and 63,423 metric tons of sunflower meal.
The Black Sea grain deal was brokered between Russia, Ukraine, Turkey and the United Nations in July and established a sea corridor for agricultural products amid Moscow’s ongoing war. The agreement, which reopened three Ukrainian ports, is set to expire in mid-July.
— Amanda Macias
Ukraine’s military intelligence said Friday that Russia is slowly reducing its number of personnel at the occupied Zaporizhzhia nuclear power station.
Among the first to leave the station were three employees of Russia’s Rosatom nuclear power facility, who managed the actions of the Russians, Ukrainian officials wrote on Telegram.
Russia, which has occupied the plant since March 2022, did not immediately comment on the assertion and CNBC could not verify Ukraine’s assertion.
— Karen Gilchrist
Pope Francis on Friday lamented that there was “no end” in sight to the war in Ukraine after his peace envoy concluded peace talks in Russia.
“The tragic reality of this war that seems to have no end demands of everyone a common creative effort to imagine and forge paths of peace,” the pope said Friday.
Italian Cardinal Matteo Zuppi was in Moscow for three days of discussions, where he met with one of President Vladimir Putin’s advisors, Yuri Ushakov, and the head of the Russian Orthodox Church, Patriarch Kirill.
“[The visit was] aimed at identifying humanitarian initiatives, which could open roads to peace,” the Vatican said in a separate statement.
— Karen Gilchrist
President Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Friday told Ukraine’s leading military commanders to strengthen the country’s northern military sector close to the border with Belarus.
It comes after Wagner mercenary leader Yevgeny Prigozhin was exiled to Belarus in a deal brokered by President Alexander Lukashenko following last weekend’s failed insurrection. Satellite images released Thursday appeared to show a build-up at a military base outside Minsk.
— Karen Gilchrist
In an exclusive interview with Reuters, former U.S. President Donald Trump said that Russia’s President Putin had been “somewhat weakened” by Wagner forces’ aborted mutiny over the weekend.
Trump, a longtime admirer of Putin, said however that the Russian president remained “strong,” and noted that an alternative leadership could be “better, but it could be far worse.”
“You could say that he’s [Putin] still there, he’s still strong, but he certainly has been I would say somewhat weakened at least in the minds of a lot of people,” he told Reuters in a telephone interview on Thursday.
Trump also said that now was the time for the U.S. to broker a peace agreement between Moscow and Kyiv. But he said that President Joe Biden was not the right leader to do it.
Were he in charge of such talks, the ex-president said that everything would be “subject to negotiation,” noting that Kyiv may need to cede some territory — an oft stated red line for President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.
“I think they would be entitled to keep much of what they’ve earned and I think that Russia likewise would agree to that. You need the right mediator, or negotiator, and we don’t have that right now,” he said.
— Karen Gilchrist
Ukraine’s deputy defense minister said Friday that the country’s troops were “advancing in all directions” as they step up their counteroffensive against occupying Russian forces.
“If we talk about the entire frontline, both east and south, we have seized the strategic initiative and are advancing in all directions,” Hanna Maliar told Ukrainian television, according to a Reuters translation.
Kyiv’s forces were moving “confidently” around the devastated eastern city of Bakhmut, and with varying success in the south, according to Maliar.
“In the south, we are moving with varying success, sometimes there are days when it is more than a kilometer, sometimes less than a kilometer, sometimes up to 2 kilometers,” she said.
CNBC was unable to verify the situation on the battlefield and Russia has not acknowledged the Ukrainian gains.
— Karen Gilchrist
Russia can “still do the right thing … and stop this invasion,” U.K. Deputy Prime Minister Oliver Dowden said Friday.
Speaking to CNBC’s “Squawk Box Asia,” Dowden said the “best possible outcome” of the war would leave Ukrainians able to “regain their full freedom and full independence and full territorial integrity from before this invasion happened.”
He did not specify how that could come to fruition.
Asked how the U.K. would view China taking on a mediator role in the conflict, Dowden said London would “welcome any interventions to bring peace and security to Ukraine,” but that this requires sustained hostility towards Russia and the restoration of Ukraine’s territorial integrity.
Dowden reiterated the U.K.’s stance with Kyiv and its focus on “support for people in Ukraine and the defence of freedom and security in Europe.”
— Hannah Ward-Glenton
Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov on Friday accused Western allies of having a “schizophrenic” approach to the conflict in Ukraine, preferring to extend the fighting than bring about peace.
In comments reported by Reuters, Lavrov said that the West wanted to freeze the conflict in order to buy time to send further weapons to Ukraine. He added that Kyiv’s allies would prefer to see Russian leaders go on trial before pressing for peace in Ukraine.
Lavrov said that the continued African operations of the Wagner mercenary group, which staged a failed insurrection against Moscow last weekend, remain a matter for those governments with which they hold contracts.
— Karen Gilchrist
EU leaders see fissures in Russian unity, Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallas told CNBC, after bloc representatives on Thursday agreed further security commitments to Ukraine.
“What is clear [is that] Russia has played on us getting tired first, so we will see cracks in our unity, but actually it hasn’t happened. We see cracks on their side. So what we have to do is to keep pressure on Russia,” the Estonian leader said.
Russia’s top brass was divided last week, as formerly allied paramilitary group Wagner fleetingly took arms against Moscow.
As the Kremlin fights internal divisions, EU heads on Thursday pledged unspecified future security commitments to Ukraine, noting in a statement that these “will be taken in full respect of the security and defence policy of certain Member States and taking into account the security and defence interests of all Member States.”
— Ruxandra Iordache
Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez will begin his country’s six-month rotating presidency of the European Union Council on July 1 with a visit to Kyiv, Spanish media outlets and the Ukrainian presidency said.
“I believe it is symbolic that this Saturday, on the first day of Spain’s presidency, Mr. Sanchez, the Prime Minister of Spain, will visit Ukraine at my invitation,” Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said. “For the first time, the beginning of a country’s presidency will be emphasized by a visit to Ukraine. And this actually says a lot about how important the next six months will be for our Europe.”
Sanchez visited Ukraine earlier in February for the one-year anniversary of Russia’s full-scale invasion.
Nations holding the EU presidency traditionally try to play a key role in setting the bloc’s agenda. The visit comes at a time when Ukraine is pushing for a fast-tracked accession to the European coalition.
— Ruxandra Iordache
Parts of Russian paramilitary group Wagner remain in Russian-occupied Ukrainian territory, U.S. Pentagon spokesperson Brigadier General Pat Ryder said during a Thursday press briefing.
“On Wagner Group and its disposition, what I would tell you is, right now, we continue to see some elements of the Wagner Group in Russian-occupied territory in Ukraine,” Ryder said, according to a transcript. He did not give any more detail.
Ryder added that the U.S. continues to monitor the fate of the Wagner group “and how they will be employed going throughout the rest of this — this conflict and — and elsewhere around the world,” following the militia’s attempted insurrection against the Kremlin last week and the exile of troops leader Yevgeny Prigozhin to Belarus.
Russia has deployed Wagner capabilities both in the conflict in Ukraine and in Syria, Libya and elsewhere in Africa.
— Ruxandra Iordache
The World Bank on Thursday said it approved a new $1.5 billion loan for Kyiv, which is guaranteed by the government of Japan under the Advancing Needed Credit Enhancement for Ukraine Trust Fund.
The funds seek to bring relief to households of those impoverished or displaced by the war, bolster transparency over expenditures, and support markets.
The latest loan brings the emergency financing supplied by the World Bank and individual international donors to $37.5 billion to date, the institution said.
Antonella Bassani, World Bank regional vice president for Europe and central Asia, commended Ukraine for “taking on difficult reforms during a war, with an eye to its future and the long-term development gains of the country.”
— Ruxandra Iordache
New facilities have been set up at a military base housing Wagner fighters in the southeast of Belarus’ capital Minsk, satellite images captured by the European Space Agency appeared to show.
The images captured on June 27, seen and reported on by Reuters, show rows of long structures in a field which appeared empty less than two weeks prior.
The footage appears to support reports from Russian media that a new base for Russia’s Wagner mercenary group has been constructed near the town of Asipovichi, outside of Minsk.
CNBC could not immediately verify the nature of the construction.
Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko confirmed late on Tuesday that Wagner leader Yevgeny Prigozhin had arrived in Belarus and said other mercenaries had been offered accommodation at an abandoned naval base if they wish to join him.
It comes after the Wagner group launched an aborted armed mutiny against the Russian military over the weekend.
— Karen Gilchrist
Yevgeny Prigozhin — the head of Russia’s Wagner mercenary group who was exiled to Belarus following his attempted insurrection — has been told that he will be deprived of financing if his fighters do not sign contracts with the defense ministry, the state-owned RIA news agency cited a senior lawmaker as saying on Thursday.
The chair of the lower house of parliament’s defense committee, Colonel-General Andrei Kartapolov, said Prigozhin had refused to sign the contracts and was later told that his mercenaries would no longer fight in Ukraine, state-owned TASS reported.
— Karen Gilchrist
At least 12 people were killed and 60 were injured in a Russian missile attack that hit a restaurant in the eastern Ukrainian city of Kramatorsk, the Ukrainian state emergency services said on Twitter, according to a Google translation.
The toll of the dead included three children.
Emergency rescue operations have now completed, the services said.
The U.S. State Department on Wednesday “unequivocally” condemned Russia’s targeting of civilians in its latest alleged attacks against populated Ukrainian sites.
A Kremlin spokesperson reiterated Russia’s position that Moscow does not target civilian infrastructure in response to Kyiv’s accusations regarding the strike at Kramatorsk.
CNBC could not independently verify the military progress on the ground.
— Ruxandra Iordache
Wagner forces will no longer fight in Ukraine; Prigozhin retreat deal terms could still be under discussion.
